Showing posts from 2018

The IRGC Qods Force is not very good at its job: Missiles in Yemen

11 October 2018 Redline is back! We've got a great tan after several summery months on the beach and we're chomping at the bit to get you some more juicy content. We're very pleased with our new-look: let us know what you think. As some light beachside reading (we love a hammock) Redline has just finished getting through a very long and very detailed report released in January this year by the United Nations Security Council's Panel of Experts on Yemen. We weren't able to get round to reading it earlier in the year but we should have. The report, available here , gives an eye-opening expert account of the Yemeni conflict. Patently, nobody was winning it in January and it doesn't seem like much has changed since.  The situation in Yemen is horrible and we don't want to make light of the awful things that the Yemeni civilian population is going through. However, it was admittedly with some level of amusement that we read the Panel's accou

Redline's 2018 Forecast

03 Jan, 2018 It's that time of year when the Redline team usually gets a bit misty-eyed and indulges in some reminiscing about the year gone past. Not this year though! Instead, we're focused on 2018 and making sure that we're ready to keep delivering insights into the murkier aspects of Iran's nuclear program. So what are we expecting to happen next year on that front? Well, Team Redline is very much hoping that Iran keeps sticking to its end of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the landmark nuclear deal negotiated in 2015. The odds of that happening we think are better than even. Buts it's still best to me pessimistic. What we can be even more assured of is that elements within Iran's military and Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) will keep working on developing capabilities that veer a little too closely to the limits of what is permitted under the JCPOA - and indeed perhaps a couple of projects that cross the line. Here's wh